Alabama House 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gary Palmer a 33% chance of winning the Alabama House 2014 primary. Paul Demarco won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Gary Palmer — 33% model odds
- Paul Demarco — 27% model odds (won)
- Will Brooke — 23% model odds
- Robert Shattuck — 5% model odds
- Chad Mathis — 4% model odds
- Scott Beason — 4% model odds
- Tom Vigneulle — 4% model odds