Illinois House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adam Kinzinger a 95% chance of winning the Illinois House 2018 primary. Adam Kinzinger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adam Kinzinger — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Sara Dady — 5% model odds
  3. John M. Stassi — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts