Illinois House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John M. Shimkus a 95% chance of winning the Illinois House 2018 primary. John M. Shimkus won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John M. Shimkus — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Kevin Gaither — 5% model odds
  3. Tim E. Buckner — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts