Iowa House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve King an 87% chance of winning the Iowa House 2018 primary. Steve King won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steve King — 87% model odds (won)
  2. J.D. Scholten — 13% model odds
  3. Charles Aldrich — 0% model odds
  4. Edward Peterson — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts