Iowa House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cindy Axne a 57% chance of winning the Iowa House 2018 primary. Cindy Axne won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cindy Axne — 57% model odds (won)
  2. David Young — 21% model odds
  3. Paul Knupp — 21% model odds
  4. Bryan Jack Holder — 0% model odds
  5. Mark, Jr. Elworth — 0% model odds
  6. Joe Grandanette — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts