Iowa House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dave Loebsack a 50% chance of winning the Iowa House 2018 primary. Dave Loebsack won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dave Loebsack — 50% model odds (won)
2. Christopher Peters — 50% model odds
3. Mark David Strauss — 0% model odds
4. Daniel Clark — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts