Iowa House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Abby Finkenauer a 63% chance of winning the Iowa House 2018 primary. Abby Finkenauer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Abby Finkenauer — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Rod Blum — 37% model odds
  3. Troy Hageman — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts