Hawaii Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mazie K. Hirono a 100% chance of winning the Hawaii Senate 2018 primary. Mazie K. Hirono won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mazie K. Hirono — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Ron Curtis — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts