Alaska Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thom M. # Walker a 64% chance of winning the Alaska Senate 2014 primary. Thom M. # Walker won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Thom M. # Walker — 64% model odds (won)
2. Mark S. # Fish — 18% model odds
3. Scott A. Kohlhaas — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts