Florida Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rick Scott a 68% chance of winning the Florida Senate 2018 primary. Rick Scott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rick Scott — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Nelson — 32% model odds
  3. Lateresa L.A. Jones — 0% model odds
  4. David Weeks — 0% model odds
  5. Charles Frederick Tolbert — 0% model odds
  6. Howard Knepper — 0% model odds
  7. Michael S. Levinson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts