Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Maria Elvira Salazar a 57% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Donna Shalala won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Maria Elvira Salazar — 57% model odds
- Donna Shalala — 43% model odds (won)
- Mayra Joli — 0% model odds