Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Francis Rooney an 88% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Francis Rooney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Francis Rooney — 88% model odds (won)
2. David Holden — 12% model odds
3. Pete Pollard — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts