Florida House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ross Spano a 57% chance of winning the Florida House 2018 primary. Ross Spano won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ross Spano — 57% model odds (won)
2. Kristen Carlson — 43% model odds
3. Dave Johnson — 0% model odds
4. Jeffrey G. Rabinowitz — 0% model odds
5. Alek Bynzar — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts