DC House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eleanor Holmes Norton a 50% chance of winning the DC House 2018 primary. Eleanor Holmes Norton won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eleanor Holmes Norton — 50% model odds (won)
2. Natale "Lino" Stracuzzi — 50% model odds
3. Nelson F. Rimensnyder — 0% model odds
4. John Cheeks — 0% model odds
5. Bruce Majors — 0% model odds
6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts