Connecticut Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher S. Murphy a 100% chance of winning the Connecticut Senate 2018 primary. Christopher S. Murphy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Christopher S. Murphy — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Christopher S. Murphy — 0% model odds
  3. Matthew Corey — 0% model odds
  4. Jeff Russell — 0% model odds
  5. Richard Lion — 0% model odds
  6. Fred Linck — 0% model odds
  7. Kristi L. Talmadge — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts