Connecticut House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jahana Hayes an 83% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2018 primary. Jahana Hayes won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jahana Hayes — 83% model odds (won)
2. Manny Santos — 17% model odds
3. Jahana Hayes — 0% model odds
4. Manny Santos — 0% model odds
5. John Pistone — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts