Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hillary J. Scholten a 97% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. Hillary J. Scholten won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Hillary J. Scholten — 97% model odds (won)
  2. Salim Al-Shatel — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts