Alaska House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nancy Dahlstrom a 52% chance of winning the Alaska House 2024 primary. Nick Begich won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Nancy Dahlstrom — 52% model odds
- Nick Begich — 38% model odds (won)
- Matthew Salisbury — 10% model odds