Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Erin Houchin a 75% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Erin Houchin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Erin Houchin — 75% model odds (won)
  2. Hugh Doty — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts