Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Messmer a 41% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Mark Messmer won, matching the model's top pick.
- Mark Messmer — 41% model odds (won)
- Richard Moss — 38% model odds
- John Hostettler — 5% model odds
- Luke Misner — 3% model odds
- Jim Case — 3% model odds
- Jeremy Heath — 3% model odds
- Dominick Kavanaugh — 3% model odds
- Kristi Risk — 2% model odds