Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Edward Sein a 54% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Erik Hurt won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Edward Sein — 54% model odds
  2. Erik Hurt — 15% model odds (won)
  3. Michael Talarzyk — 15% model odds
  4. Peter Priest — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts