Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gabe Whitley a 78% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Jennifer Pace won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Gabe Whitley — 78% model odds
  2. Jennifer Pace — 10% model odds (won)
  3. Philip Davis — 10% model odds
  4. Catherine Ping — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts