Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave André Carson an 82% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. André Carson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. André Carson — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Curtis Godfrey — 9% model odds
  3. Pierre Pullins — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts