Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jefferson Shreve a 61% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Jefferson Shreve won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jefferson Shreve — 61% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Speedy — 23% model odds
  3. Darin Childress — 4% model odds
  4. Jamison Carrier — 4% model odds
  5. Jeff Raatz — 3% model odds
  6. Bill Frazier — 2% model odds
  7. John Jacob — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts