Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ryan Pfenninger an 83% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Deborah Pickett won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Ryan Pfenninger — 83% model odds
  2. Deborah Pickett — 17% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts