Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James R. Baird an 82% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. James R. Baird won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James R. Baird — 82% model odds (won)
  2. John Piper — 12% model odds
  3. Charles Bookwalter — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts