Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rimpi Girn a 77% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Derrick Holder won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Rimpi Girn — 77% model odds
  2. Derrick Holder — 23% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts