Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kiley Adolph a 67% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Kiley Adolph won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kiley Adolph — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Phil Goss — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts