Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Randy Niemeyer a 65% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Randy Niemeyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Randy Niemeyer — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Ben Ruiz — 32% model odds
  3. Mark Leyva — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts