Kentucky House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Todd Kelly a 61% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2024 primary. Randy Cravens won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Todd Kelly — 61% model odds
- Randy Cravens — 20% model odds (won)
- Jonathan Richardson — 7% model odds
- Don B. Pratt — 7% model odds
- Shauna Rudd — 5% model odds