Kentucky House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Harold Rogers a 47% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2024 primary. Harold Rogers won, matching the model's top pick.
- Harold Rogers — 47% model odds (won)
- Dana Edwards — 43% model odds
- Brandon Monhollen — 5% model odds
- David Kraftchak — 5% model odds