Kentucky House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Morgan Mcgarvey an 89% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2024 primary. Morgan Mcgarvey won, matching the model's top pick.
- Morgan Mcgarvey — 89% model odds (won)
- Jared Randall — 8% model odds
- Geoff Young — 3% model odds