Kentucky House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hank Linderman a 95% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2024 primary. Hank Linderman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Hank Linderman — 95% model odds (won)
  2. William Compton — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts