Ohio House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael A. Rulli a 93% chance of winning the Ohio House 2024 primary. Michael A. Rulli won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael A. Rulli — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Reggie Stoltzfus — 4% model odds
  3. Rick Tsai — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts