Wisconsin House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rebecca Cooke a 69% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2024 primary. Derrick Van Orden won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Rebecca Cooke — 69% model odds
  2. Derrick Van Orden — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Scattering — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts