Wisconsin House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bryan Steil an 89% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2024 primary. Bryan Steil won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bryan Steil — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Peter Barca — 11% model odds
  3. Chester Todd, Jr. — 0% model odds
  4. Scattering — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts