Virginia House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald S. Beyer, Jr. a 91% chance of winning the Virginia House 2024 primary. Donald S. Beyer, Jr. won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald S. Beyer, Jr. — 91% model odds (won)
  2. Jerry W. Torres — 9% model odds
  3. Bentley F. Hensel — 0% model odds
  4. David R. Kennedy — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts