Virginia House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eugene S. Vindman a 74% chance of winning the Virginia House 2024 primary. Eugene S. Vindman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eugene S. Vindman — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Derrick M. Anderson — 26% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts