Virginia House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave John J. Mcguire Iii a 92% chance of winning the Virginia House 2024 primary. John J. Mcguire Iii won, matching the model's top pick.
- John J. Mcguire Iii — 92% model odds (won)
- Gloria Tinsley Witt — 8% model odds