Virginia House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jennifer A. Kiggans a 70% chance of winning the Virginia House 2024 primary. Jennifer A. Kiggans won, matching the model's top pick.
- Jennifer A. Kiggans — 70% model odds (won)
- Missy Cotter Smasal — 30% model odds
- Robert E. Reid, Jr. — 0% model odds