Vermont House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Becca Balint a 100% chance of winning the Vermont House 2024 primary. Becca Balint won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Becca Balint — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Adam Ortiz — 0% model odds
  3. Blank Votes — 0% model odds
  4. Jill \"Jessy\" Diamondstone — 0% model odds
  5. Mark Coester — 0% model odds
  6. Over Votes — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts