Utah House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Burgess Owens a 100% chance of winning the Utah House 2024 primary. Burgess Owens won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Burgess Owens — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Katrina Fallick-Wang — 0% model odds
  3. M. Evan Bullard — 0% model odds
  4. Vaughn R. Cook — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts