Utah House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Celeste Maloy an 82% chance of winning the Utah House 2024 primary. Celeste Maloy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Celeste Maloy — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Nathaniel E. Woodward — 18% model odds
  3. Cassie Easley — 0% model odds
  4. Tyler Murset — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts