Texas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lloyd Doggett a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2024 primary. Lloyd Doggett won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lloyd Doggett — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Jenny Garcia Sharon — 5% model odds
  3. Girish Altekar — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts