Texas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicente Gonzalez a 64% chance of winning the Texas House 2024 primary. Vicente Gonzalez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vicente Gonzalez — 64% model odds (won)
  2. Mayra Flores — 36% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts