Texas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jasmine Crockett a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2024 primary. Jasmine Crockett won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jasmine Crockett — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jrmar \"J J\" Jefferson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts