Texas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Henry Cuellar an 89% chance of winning the Texas House 2024 primary. Henry Cuellar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Henry Cuellar — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Jay Furman — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts