Texas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Beth Van Duyne a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2024 primary. Beth Van Duyne won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Beth Van Duyne — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Sam Eppler — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts