Texas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Troy E. Nehls a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2024 primary. Troy E. Nehls won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Troy E. Nehls — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Marquette Greene-Scott — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts