Texas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chip Roy a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2024 primary. Chip Roy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chip Roy — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Bob King — 0% model odds
  3. Kristin Hook — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts